A host nation reaches the semi-finals?
Resolves Yes if United States, Canada or Mexico play a 2026 semi-final.
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How this resolves
- Trading closes 10.7.2026, 02:00:00
- Each winning share redeems for 100 ◈; losing shares expire at 0
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The outcome is decided by the source set out in the description above, and the evidence is recorded here once the market settles.
How it resolved
NO. All three host nations were eliminated in the Round of 16, so none reached a 2026 World Cup semi-final: Morocco beat Canada 3-0 (4 Jul), England beat Mexico 3-2 (5 Jul) and Belgium beat the USA 4-1 (6 Jul). Sources: Hypebeast (USA, Mexico, Canada all eliminated) and US Soccer / FIFA match reports.