Who wins the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?
The 70th Ballon d'Or ceremony takes place on Monday 26 October 2026 in London, the first time the gala is staged outside Paris. This market resolves to the player announced as winner of the men's Ballon d'Or 2026 during that ceremony, per the official result published by France Football / L'Equipe (groupe Amaury). The award honours the best men's footballer over the 2025-26 season. After Spain's 19 July 2026 World Cup win over Argentina, prediction markets make Bayern Munich's Harry Kane (61 goals in 2025-26) the favourite ahead of World Cup and Euro winner Lamine Yamal, with reigning winner Ousmane Dembele, Kylian Mbappe and Michael Olise also in the chase. Resolves to the listed player if he is named the winner; if the winner is any other player, it resolves to 'Another player'.
24 traders are active on this Sports market, with 240 ◈ traded.
Price history
No resting orders.
How this resolves
- Trading closes 26.10.2026, 19:00:00
- Each winning share redeems for 100 ◈; losing shares expire at 0
- Sell any time before close to lock in a profit or cut a loss
- No house cut — coins only ever move between players, never real money
The outcome is decided by the source set out in the description above, and the evidence is recorded here once the market settles.